Maia Sandu’s Drone-Centered Strategy

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Christian RUSSU
After purchasing a variety of “military toys” such as expensive modern radar systems, the authorities are moving on to the next stage: manufacturing weapons directly within Moldova  
Maia Sandu recently spoke in detail about plans to manufacture military drones in Moldova. The choice of “interlocutor” to explain such a pressing issue fell on a local pro-government blogger, who was not constrained by editorial guidelines or strict deadlines. From this, we can conclude that the country’s leadership has decided to clear up the confusion surrounding its intentions to launch high-tech military production – not so much for external partners as for the domestic audience. PAS representatives have long been speaking about the need for Moldova to address the reality of drones. In this context initiatives to purchase radar systems for detecting drones were first proposed. The authorities first made the relevant decision, coordinating it with their European allies, and then began to prepare public opinion. Today, virtually no one asks about the effectiveness of the purchased radars, the justification for the funds invested, or the continued operation of these systems. That stage of public debate has now passed. The new one, however, is just beginning to take shape, especially since there’s no need to wait for any particular newsworthy events. A drone crash into a residential building in a neighboring country is quite suitable for “reviving” the topic. It is noteworthy that Sandu demonstrates a deep understanding of drone technology development: both offensive and defensive. She is aware that drones can fly at high and very low altitudes, which makes them significantly harder to intercept. The president is also aware of the existence of reconnaissance drones, aircraft capable of intercepting and destroying other drones, as well as electronic warfare systems. All of this, judging by her words, is of considerable interest to our republic. It is clear that the ruling regime has already addressed this issue both internally and through consultations with potential investors and partners from Ukraine. Maia Sandu explicitly states that work is underway in two key areas: strengthening the anti-drone system and developing electronic countermeasures. There are foreign donors with the necessary technologies. However, a problem has arisen: current legislation does not allow for the creation of public-private partnerships or the attraction of foreign investment in the defense industry. “We will change the law. I have instructed the government,” Sandu declared authoritatively. Her words were quickly echoed by PAS deputies. Radu Marian and Adrian Balutel reiterated and elaborated on the president’s proposals, announcing that legislative initiatives from the Ministry of Defense would soon be submitted to parliament. Balutel even stated frankly that since gaining independence, Moldova has not had a fully-fledged military production sector, and this situation must be changed, as the country is already participating in drone coalitions and intends to build up its own capabilities in this area. PAS officials expect to pass the necessary legislative changes as early as this fall. It is clear that these changes will not be limited to authorizing the manufacture of drones or electronic warfare equipment. As usual, parliament will focus on establishing a general legal framework, while specific details will be left to the government and the defense ministry. It can be assumed that the discussion will focus on amendments to laws governing public-private partnerships, the regulation of weapons, ammunition, and defense-related products, and investment legislation. Currently, the spheres of national security and the commercial sector are clearly separated in our country. The state retains a monopoly in the military-industrial complex, and there are no provisions allowing foreign companies to manage or hold equity stakes in strategic defense facilities. It is possible that the authorities will follow Ukraine’s lead by permitting joint defense projects between state-owned enterprises and private capital. It is true, however, that in the neighboring country, such decisions were made under martial law. Another important point is that the aforementioned regulations have already been amended repeatedly over the past few years, again in the interest of developing cooperation with Europeans. Moreover, the revised draft law on public-private partnerships, designed to remove restrictions on business activity, was very recently sent out for public consultation. All the changes made were dictated, in part, by the need to harmonize the national regulatory framework with European directives. It is likely that the authorities will now have to further refine the already updated legislation in order to become one of the “pioneers” among EU candidate countries and even member states, as well as to qualify for funding from European military funds, such as the SAFE defense program. It is noteworthy that the government’s desire to establish arms production has not met with unified criticism from the opposition. The right-wing “Democracy at Home” party merely reproaches the government for having done virtually nothing in this regard over the past five years. Representatives of the former “Alternativa” bloc, namely Ion Chicu and Alexandr Stoianoglo, also reject any attempts to label them as opponents of measures aimed at increasing the country’s investment attractiveness and defense capabilities. Only the Communists and Socialists are likely to object in principle to the announced “Sandu drone initiative”. Millions of people around the world, representing a wide range of political and social groups, are likely following the drone standoff between Ukraine and Russia. They are watching videos of strikes on military and infrastructure targets, as well as attempts to intercept and destroy drones. For military observers, this is an opportunity to track current trends in weapons development. For politicians, it is a tool for exploiting public sentiment, primarily fears, to strengthen their own political standing. For some in the business sector, it is a source of new opportunities for profit. And for our authorities, it is all of the above at once. Moldovan officials’ interest in modern military technology is combined with provincial desires to stay on trend and make a little extra money. The question now is whether our country is capable of keeping pace with the times and becoming a full-fledged player, or, as they say, a “security provider” for the European space. Military technology is developing so rapidly that mechanisms relevant today may become obsolete even before mass production or full-scale practical application begins. Participation in the new technological arms race requires significant resources. However, given the limited number of major investment projects and ongoing economic growth challenges, the authorities may view the development of defense-industrial potential as one of the few promising avenues for attracting capital to Moldova.